Saturday, September 26, 2015

Irreni Solution: Average Intelligence Empoyment

Hi! Happy Saturday!

Yesterday I posted an observation that there are pressures on employment of average intelligence: automation and computer intelligence. Average intelligence is about the capability of the brain, not high school education. To whit, education level will be irrelevant if one has average intelligence because for most average intelligent tasks computers will be able to perform such tasks and much cheaper.

Today I'm going to write about the Irreni World Scale solution to the average intelligence employment dilemma.

Before we begin let me remind the dear reader that Irreni has at it's core two fundamental principles:

  1. Innovation replaces revolution. Irreni advocates continuous improvement by a million upgrades over one-hundred years and not revolution of government overthrow or wholesale disruption. 
  2. Experimentation where science is key to innovation. Innovation starts small and only scales to large numbers after scientifically proven success of claims. Repeatable processes. 
Average intelligence is being made obsolete and unemployable by systems today because the focus is on efficiency, not humanity. It is an easy sell to blame this on capitalism, but that is too simplistic. Any human system is subject to human nature. Greed is in our human nature. No system to date has been able to adequately deal with greed and its sister, corruption. That goes for corrupt communism, socialism or capitalism.

Capitalists get all sanctimonious and point to a human nature flaw with socialism and communism: lack of incentive and competition. Humans need incentive and competition lacking in communism and capitalism.

However, capitalists are in complete and total denial that all capitalists systems fall victim to human nature: greed. Efficiency concentrates profit, concentrates recipients and this concentration promotes greed and corruption by narrowing the recipients of profits via efficiency. The list of capitalism traits that are brought about by greed is endless: monopolies, price fixing, collusion and war to name a few. Corruption is the queen of greed and the bane of capitalism. Capitalists are blind to greed because most promoters of capitalists are greedy themselves. A telling moment of greed just recently was when Alan Greenspan, the Fed Chair, exclaimed surprise on behalf of bankers and that he expected bankers to be responsible and self-regulating, not irresponsible and greedy.

Our evolution of social groups then needs to improve on the failures of today's systems, especially the fundamental flaws of corruption brought on by greed.

Irreni World Scale's solution is to change the focus from individual to groups, from CEOs to tribes.

CEOs today tie their personal individual wealth to the stock or performance of the company. CEOs position the company as their own personal wealth maker and not as a group or public benefactor. The needs of the one outweigh the needs of the many.

What we need is a new system where the needs of the many outweigh then needs of the few, or the one. This will mitigate the concentration of wealth and power that fosters greed and corruption of capitalism today.

Irreni World Scale promotes a new system based upon a unit of tribe. The unit of hire is a tribe and the unit of living is a tribe.

Imagine a world where corporations, countries, states and cities as social groups no longer exist. Instead what we have are social groups based on a unit of tribe. Groups of people scale in size not by adding individuals to corporations or countries, but by tribes-of-tribes associating.

Imagine all single family units demolished and replaced by highly reconfigurable community units geared towards constant to membership changing.

Why Tribes?


What is the meaning of life? Fellowship. Connecting with each other across some personal spectrum physically, emotionally and intellectually is why we live. That has always been an obvious easy answer to the question of the meaning of life; only our egos insist on an unanswerable answer or want fellowship with the supernatural bigger than ourselves.

We need to connect with each other. Work is meaningful because work connects us to each other. We feel we are connecting and contributing to the human experience.  We feel our worth.

Family is fundamental to humanity because family is our first connection when we come into this world as children. People who hate their job oft times site the family connection as enough and exclusive reason for living.

However, families break down anywhere education and technology thrive. Mostly because we are captive in families, but education coupled with technology frees us the captivity. Families as voluntary tribes break down.

Irreni World Scale calls for experimenting with tribes with some of the following ideas.

Tribal Balance

Prisons, mental institutions and elder care institutions all go away as criminals, limited mental people and the elderly are mixed into tribes. Every tribe will be addressed by balance. Even the most gifted among us is required to connect directly in their tribe to those less fortunate.

How tribes are balanced with a formula of productivity and dependence needs to be worked out. The formula should be a scientific one where dependency is distributed evenly. It is important that everyone connect and have fellowship with those less fortunate, including criminals. We cannot build a better world without thinking day-to-day of those who need care and people for whom this system doesn't work. These people need to be in our face if we are going to solve these problems.

Corporations go way as tribes-of-tribes work in tandem for larger projects. Tribes are the unit of hire factoring in overall compensation for groups with balanced dependencies.  The concept of "employee" goes away as all tribes are balanced to distribute the care for those dependent amongst everyone.

Life's Meaning 

Find your tribe!

Conspiracy theories always fall apart in the face of life's meaning. President Obama lives for the same things we all live for; to spend time with his family and enjoy himself. President Obama is not delighting in conspiracies of bringing down the American government or undermining the right. 

People just want to live their lives. And that applies to CEOs and world leaders. Girls just want to have fun. Everyone wants to "get off work" and enjoy a movie, sports and fine food. People want to enjoy life and people with power over-indulge, not create conspiracies.

Tribes increase the meaning of life over what we experience today. Today we feel disconnected from family, friends and humanity because our contributions to all of these have been marginalized.

A tribe of thirty people is designed to give us a pool large enough to find a few people for us to connect too directly but not so large our contributions to the tribe seem insignificant.

Also, given a tribe of 30 has 10-20% dependents then there is a large enough pool to spread the care giving around, as well as any expertise required.

Tribes membership is voluntary. Tribe membership is not conscripted but competitive. As long as tribes meet their dependency balance then tribes are free to advertise for new or different members. Unlike a family that you cannot chose, you chose your tribe. Any time membership change a new balance will need to be calculated but otherwise people are free to move about.

Finally, tribe size of 30 is large enough that attrition may be devastating but not debilitating. However, this number of 30 needs to be vetted with social experiments just like any other aspect of Irreni systems going forward. Science for the win!

Find your tribe!

Average Intelligence Employment

We don't grow, cook and serve our own food. We don't make our own clothes. We don't even wash our clothes. Our jobs are so distant from any end contribution to other people our feeling of worth in work gets lost.

Today's work system is frustrating because we need fellowship, we need to connect to enlarge life's meaning. But this cannot be contrived. I worked in a manufacturing facility for a few years where handicapped people were given makeshift jobs and a wage. That's not going to do.

Irreni World Scale calls for a new focus for capitalism: tribe-reliance. Today capitalism focuses on profits for investors. Tomorrow's capitalism focuses on technology and endeavors for tribes.

No more mass production for consumption. Instead the new capitalism focus is limited production for tribe self-reliance. In other words, we re-focus the purpose of automation to allow tribes to be self-reliant and not to lower costs for everyone in the world.

Irreni World Scale is setting the bar of life to be self-reliance. We make our own food, clothing and shelter. However, we do so with state of the art 3D printers for food, clothing and shelter.

Tribe-reliance will put the focus of human fellowship and connectivity back where we can feel it: locally. We all use state-of-the-art technology to build an iPhone.

Tribe-reliance is the future when you think about climate change, space exploration and the meaning of human life. Single tribe reliance will have very limited capability considering how many people it takes to build an iPhone today. But, as we move further along the robotic, artificial intelligence improvement time-line we focus not on mass production putting average intelligence at risk of being meaningless, but rather on tribal-reliance. 

Avoiding Insular Dysfunction


Tribes will increase meaning in life by promoting fellowship within a tribe. However, human nature and history show that the dangers of the negative aspects of tribes are every bit as catastrophic as greed and corruption are today.

To mitigate this risk Irreni World Scale requires that every single person have a Device of Life (DOL). The DOL connects everyone to everyone else. Further, the Data Center on the Moon contains our collective knowledge of all humanity and is available to everyone via the DOL.

The Internet and constant use of it for social networking as we do today with people anywhere in the world will offset the negative tendencies of human nature...of violence and homogenuity associated historically with tribal warfare.


Cheers!

Demand Irreni World Scale!

Think disruption!

Empathy for all!

Moral relativity: think it, breath it!

Prove it or lose it!

Conversations equal consensus! 

Welcome to the 21st century!

Scale your empathy, scale the world! 

Find your tribe!

Be sexy people!

The future is coming! 

Innovate at a rapid pace!

Slow speed ahead!

Well come! and well met!














Friday, September 25, 2015

The average brain is unemployable.

Hi! Happy Friday!

The average brain is unemployable.

Yesterday I blogged about a radio podcast where a conservative pundit promoted going back to a nuclear family model of mom, dad, the kids and a high school diplomas. I was beside myself, wearing a red dress :-), that someone could say such things seriously.

The average brain is unemployable. That's really all I wanted to say in this blog post. Well, that and we need to face this fact head on.

I read an article on the web the other day which asked the question: when will computers be smarter than people?

I would rephrase that question to when will computers be effective enough to replace people at almost any task?

Prior to 1900 some 90% of Americans were involved in agriculture. Today just 2%.  Why is easy enough to understand: food prior to 1900 had to be grown in your back yard without the technology of the plane, train and automobile. And refrigeration.

Think about how many bank tellers have been put out of a job by the ubiquitous ATM?

The average human brain is unemployable because machines can do most of the work the average human brain is capable of. Most industries are going to come to look like banking and agriculture, a handful of people can service the entire world.

So now what?

Prior to 1980 computer time was far more expensive than human time. From a business stand-point then it made sense to employee people over more expensive  computers. The implication here is that humans will still be employable in large numbers for average intelligence but only for wages that compete with machines. Supply and demand dictates that the market for average intelligence humans will be far greater than the supply. Therefore there will be two factors driving down wages: competition with machines and an over-abundance of average intelligence workers.

We are in a wage race to the bottom.

What are we going to do it about?

Well, one reality was expressed by the movie, "The Matrix". Scientists will come up with far more valuable uses for your brain then you can express yourself. People will be offered "jobs" to be nothing more than computer CPUs, with consciousness. Conscious computer processes. The movie "The Matrix" was a warning: if we start using human brains to augment machine thinking to improve computing then computers may take over.

Are we there yet? Not with humans CPUs, but humans are competing for jobs with machines making the average human intelligence unemployable.

The world has passed by the lady who indicated that a high-school diploma means a good paying job. Those days are long gone because the new job dilemma is that irrespective of education the average human brain is unemployable. Oh sure, there will be a few jobs but the competition will be so fierce that the wages will be nothing.

You have to ask yourself one question: are the people claiming new job markets will always be available for everyone correct in their world view or is automation making the average human intelligence obsolete the correct world view?

We have started 3D printing food. We can 3D print buildings. If computers and machines can take care of all our food and shelter needs cheaply and efficiently, what then?

We need to start facing the new realities of the 21st century. Going back to mom, dad and the kids with high school educations are days long behind us.

We need to redesign life for the 21st century. Demand Irreni World Scale!

Cheers!

Demand Irreni World Scale!

Think disruption!

Empathy for all!

Moral relativity: think it, breath it!

Prove it or lose it!

Conversations equal consensus! 

Welcome to the 21st century!

Scale your empathy, scale the world! 

Find your tribe!

Be sexy people!

The future is coming! 

Innovate at a rapid pace!

Slow speed ahead!

Well come! and well met!














Thursday, September 24, 2015

Deconstructing the Pope

Hi! Happy Wednesday!

The Pope is visiting America this week and much is being made about it in the media.

I thought this would make an excellent teaching moment about deconstructing the Pope. Not me. I'm not deconstructing the Pope. I'm deconstructing the people who are deconstructing the Pope.

There are two reasons I'm not deconstructing the Pope:
  1. Anti-atheist banality. An anti-theist like myself picking on the Pope? Like that hasn't been done a million times. 
  2. Solutions. Irreni World Scale is about solutions, not punditry. 
What solution? you ask? This is a perfect teaching moment about thinking in world scale. The Pope is discussing global topics such as climate change and capitalism.

So let's dig in, shall we?

Today I'm deconstructing a WCGO Chicago radio podcast. The program is called "Coffee and Markets" and is a prime-time morning-drive talk show. Further, the hosts and the guests are decidedly conservative. I can't really say I have any agenda with conservative vs. liberal on this topic of speaking in scale. Liberals and conservatives alike happen to both be egregiously bad talking about scale. The only reason I'm picking on this show is it happens to be the one I was listening too.

You can listen to the show here:
http://www.redstate.com/2015/09/22/popes-view-capitalism-overlooks/
 Below are just some of the talking points:

Efficiency

The Pope states that capitalism promotes a throw-away society.  The capitalist counter argument is that it is that people are free to do things wasteful. However, markets encourage people to do things efficiently. Capitalists economy are more efficient than socialist economies because  they make more profit by using fewer resources. The efficiencies in capitalist economies are much higher than socialist economies to generate more profits.

That capitalist economies are more efficient in manufacting is irrelevant when it comes to the waste of capitalism.. Planned obsolescence is wasteful.  Cars up until the Japanese started competing with US auto makers were made to fail. An automobile that lasts 100 years means a consumer is not buying an automobile for 100 years. Can't have that. Ideally in capitalism a car should break down every year so you have to buy another car every year. That's how capitalism works. That's wasteful. Where is the capitalism in selling products that are permanent and not consumed? Capitalism promotes consumption because increased sales comes from selling more product. Totally wasteful. The wasteful scale of consumer consumption wasting our resources far outstrips any efficiencies of manufacturing gained by capitalism. The only proof you need is the obesity epidemic in this country. We are eating ourselves to death as consumers buying every increasing amounts of high-fat, high-calorie food.

Capitalism lifts the poor. 

The capitalist argument is that the output that comes from capitalists economies enables ordinary and even the poor compared to socialists economies and even  prior to the industrial revolution.

The problem with this argument is treating capitalism as if there are no other forces working in society.

Like say, I don't know, public education. Public education that is government run and owned.


Capitalism lifts the poor is at best a half-truth. That makes this half-lie.

Capitalism as an idea doesn't work in a vacuum. Capitalism cannot take all the credit nor can capitalism take all the blame. Capitalism is just one of many ideas at work in our economy. Talking about capitalism as a factor in isolation is naive at best, dishonest at worst.

I did a study once on a different topic: capital punishment. A simple question was asked: does killing people deter crime? Does the death penalty prevent people from committing crime?

You know what the answer was? We don't know. Why? Because there are too many societal factors at any given time so as to be able to isolate the one variable: capital punishment. The only thing we know for sure is that crime correlates to poverty.

So how is that if we cannot determine if the death penalty works because socially isolating the variable is impossible then there are people who go around giving capitalism credit for everything? It doesn't scale. You cannot isolate capitalism from public education, Democratic governments and social welfare so as to "know" economic success is solely attributable to capitalism. People who do this are either arrogant or dishonest.

Capitalism is only compared to a set of fixed historical systems.

A zero-sum game is a fallacious argument of scale. What is mind-boggling about capitalists arguing ideas of types of government as a zero-sum game is the cognitive dissonance.  In the very same interview noted above the economist argues that people who do not understand wealth typically do so because they treat wealth like a zero-sum game. Yet he treats models of government as a zero-sum game where the only ideas are socialism, communism and capitalism. So here is someone who knows the scale pitfall of a zero-sum game argument and yet makes the same zero-sum argument about ideas for government. The Pope is not limiting himself to just ideas of the past. The Pope even states we need a new path forward. And yet the fellow in the interview puts the Pope in that box historical.  Ideas are not a zero-sum game. Further the definitions of socialism, communism and capitalism have evolved over time and each generation of these ideas needs a fresh set of arguments.

Innovation

Innovation made possible by capitalism has lifted in the poorest of the world.  No one gets small pox today because of capitalism.

Two things about the American economy  I can assure all capitalists will agree on. First, is that America has a terrible track record of building democracies in other countries, a requirement for capitalism. Second, is that American innovation is far superior to anywhere else in the world where capitalism exists.  Japan and Korea do not innovate as well as America. And Canada? And Australia? Do these countries innovate as well as the US? If not then capitalism cannot be the only factor for innovation and perhaps not even the major factor.

Religion

Is capitalism compatible with religion? Capitalism requires a pluralist society that promotes religion by not adhering to a single religion.

This argument undermines itself. Capitalism requires a pluralistic society not the other way around. Secularism should be given  credit for America's economic achievements today, not just capitalism in isolation.

Being poor.


The capitalist argument is there is no institution in history that comes close to capitalism success at inspiring multitudes of strangers from different countries and with different talents to cooperate for the betterment of humanity and the nature environment. Thus lifting all boats worldwide.   People who don't understand the economy assume a zero-sum game when it comes to the poor. Capitalism argument that the people who do not know anything about economics shouldn't make pronouncements about the economy. . You want to be poor in America and not in Ecuador.

http://time.com/3833081/happiest-people-world/
“This report gives evidence on how to achieve societal well-being,” Jeffrey Sachs, the director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University, said in a statement. “It’s not by money alone, but also by fairness, honesty, trust, and good health.”
Otherwise this argument is identical to the argument  above where capitalism lives in a vacuum taking all the credit.

I pointed out above the secularism is a prerequisite for capitalism to flourish.

Most anthropologists will tell you that capitalism is not the fundamental underpinning of our economy and overall way of life, public education is. Capitalism is secondary to public education and public education did not come from capitalism, but religion.

The Protestant movement inadvertently created public education. You need to read the bible to be a protestant. This means all protestants must be taught to read and write. Thus public education was born. 

Public education and secularism underpin capitalism and are a foundation that capitalism must be built upon. Public education can be argued is far more fundamental to our economy.

War on Poverty

The conservative view point is we have spent 20 trillion dollars in the war on poverty and haven't moved the needle on poverty. We've created inter-generational poverty. People are better off working. People are too lazy to get a job because the government is giving free handouts over a long haul. Conservative view point is that success and getting out of poverty only requires a high-school diploma, a job, get married and have children.

There are so many problems with this argument it is hard to know where to begin.

  1. Financiers are rigging the game. Everyday people like you and me cannot change financial regulation to get rich the way financiers can. Cheating is resulting in a huge re-distribution of wealth going on in this country where the middle-class is being destroyed.
  2. Automation is eliminating high-school jobs. Menial labor is now the domain of robotics, computers and automation. 
  3. Global workforce. The Internet has made global communication and a global workforce the norm. Americans are now competing with low-wage workers all over the world. 
  4. Jobs are limitless is a fallacy. This is probably the biggest fallacy every conservative believes. If only people would go out and look for a job there a limitless jobs out there waiting to be filled. 
  5. The 1980s called and they want their joke back with respect to mom, dad and the kids. In a single decade the US economy went from a single-parent to a dual-parent income norm required for the middle-class. Unless one is upper-middle class one cannot afford to live in the US in the middle-class with one working parent. Conservatives arguing for re-establishment of a two-parent family are holding Americans hostage to a norm that has only been around since 1980: middle-class requires two incomes.
  6. Middle-class status is superior to happiness overall is a fallacy.  See the Times report: http://time.com/3833081/happiest-people-world/. Dysfunctionally, unhappy, miserable marriages are why people get divorced in the first place. Conservatives want women in particular to go back to being forced into a patriarchy economy.   

Thinking in scale.


What's absolutely crucial to deconstructing the arguments in the radio interview and understanding why these arguments are fallacious is having a solid perspective of  scale.

Joan Fedor said it best, "The biggest threat to democracy today is over-simplified solutions to complicated problems."

This is an argument of scale. That things are complicated is a argument of scale. Just giving credit to capitalism or just blaming capitalism in isolation is an over-simplified evaluation by orders of magnitude. This applies to the Pope as well for just blaming capitalism in isolation. These over-simplified evaluations  are the biggest threat to capitalism and democracy today. Therefore it is fair to say that all the arguments deconstructing the Pope in the radio interview noted above are all fallacious for the very same reason, over simplification. Because the arguments are all over-simplified that makes these arguments the worst threat possible to capitalism itself. Demagoguery of ideology is dangerous albeit religion or any other idea.

All the above arguments promoting capitalism discount every other factor in human history that has promoted human betterment, especially public education. We humans inadvertently stumbled upon public education. And yet, Capitalism gets all the credit for America's success today.

The Irreni solution today was a teaching moment to deconstruct in scale. I've made arguments of scale to get you to think in scale. Society is complex. Anyone boiling society down to a trope such as "capitalism" doesn't know what they are talking about. Full stop.

Cheers!

Demand Irreni World Scale!

Think disruption!

Empathy for all!

Moral relativity: think it, breath it!

Prove it or lose it!

Conversations equal consensus! 

Welcome to the 21st century!

Scale your empathy, scale the world! 

Find your tribe!

Be sexy people!

The future is coming! 

Innovate at a rapid pace!

Slow speed ahead!

Well come! and well met!













Friday, September 18, 2015

Trump Genesis

Hi! Happy Friday!

The genesis of Trump.

It is no surprise that America wants reality T.V. for politics, at least to the panelists for today's blog post. This blog post is simply a video to watch a prescient panel in a 2008 . It is rather chilling to watch,  especially Hitchen's glass-of-cold-water-in-your-face warning about the totalitarian path that a demagogue like Trump will lead us down.

The video is quite fun and funny...an educational fun if you have 45 minutes to watch. The setting is 2008 after Obama clinched the Democratic nomination. The panels predication by description of what new media means is spot on in predicting a Trump candidacy. Trump may be a first, but I guarantee you what he represents has a new norm written all over it. Below are some quotes:
  • "Youtube video needs to be shocking to get viewed." - Trump is shocking.
  • "Celebrity status gets you far these days." - Trump is his own celebrity.
  • "Presidential candidates should start hanging out with Linsday Lohan just for the media attention." - Trump is hanging out with himself.
Trump is his own celebrity, but there was a rumor floating around in June that Trump would invite celebrity Sarah Palin to be his running mate. At this point I would say Palin's tragic media attention is on par with what Lindsay Lohan was back in 2008. Although Trump would be better off picking Kim Khardashian as his running mate, or at least appointing her as his spokesperson. 




Cheers!

Demand Irreni World Scale!

Think disruption!

Empathy for all!

Moral relativity: think it, breath it!

Prove it or lose it!

Conversations equal consensus! 

Welcome to the 21st century!

Scale your empathy, scale the world! 

Find your tribe!

Be sexy people!

The future is coming! 

Innovate at a rapid pace!

Slow speed ahead!

Well come! and well met!













Thursday, September 17, 2015

R.I.P. Capitalism

Hi! Happy Thursday!

Capitalism is dead. R.I.P. The proof is one word: zero-percent interest.

Ever ask yourself what the Fed will do when the next bubble bursts? They've been printing money, quantitative easing,  and lending at 0% interest going on seven years now.

Think about it.

A child born in 2008 would be 7 years-old. Imagine you are a parent and are about to explain money to your seven-year-old for the first time. What do you say about savings?

A entire new generation is about to be raised where saving money is the wrong thing to do. And yet our entire capitalist banking system was built upon an assumption of a savings economy. That savings economy doesn't exist any more and never will again. So neither does capitalism. R.I.P.

The Fed made their scheduled announcement today: no raise to the interest rate:

The Federal Reserve announced on Thursday that it is keeping its benchmark interest rate at or near zero, maintaining a policy that is likely to allow the job market to improve further. The Fed’s federal funds rate -- the interest rate the Fed charges for banks to lend to one another overnight -- will remain at target rate of 0.0-0.25 percent, where it has been since December 2008 at the height of the financial crisis. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the central bank body charged with adjusting key rates, will have its next chance to adjust the influential interest rate when it meets again on Oct. 27 and 28.

The impact of zero-percent interest rate means businesses cannot have any more advantage then they have today:

  • 100 percent of Americans are incentivised to invest. The zero-percent savings rate means to save money is to lose money with 2% inflation.
  • Businesses are borrowing at the lowest rate possible.  Lending rates won't get any lower or any more favourable to business. That means if the Fed ever raises interest rates ever again then savings interest rates will soon meet inflation and people will feel they can start saving again, pulling millions and billions out of the market. Bubble burst.

The stock market is a bubble of the Fed creation: zero-percent interest rate. The game is rigged. You either invest or lose money at a savings interest rate of zero percent.

Think about this: the Fed rate was 9%. If the Fed had raised the rate just 1/4 of a percent today then financial analysts predicted total ruin. 1/4% vs. 9%. Our economy has changed permanently.  Capitalism is dead because the capitalists no longer have to compete in a savings economy, instead the markets have to be propped up by forcing Americans to invest, permanently.

If the central bank raised the interest rates back to nine-percent and banks started paying savings again at 5% think of the billions and trillions of dollars people would pull out of the stock market. Boom! To whit, the zero-percent interest rate is a new permanent fixture.  The Fed cannot move.

I'm going to make a prediction when the next economic bubble bursts: the Fed will go negative on the interest rates. That's right, negative interest rates where the Fed will be directly subsidizing the markets.

In a previous blog post I wrote:

The global economy of today has undergone a sea change these last couple of decades. Conditions have change so radically and so fast so as make all historical data on economics irrelevant.

A permanent Fed rate of zero-percent should have been a wake up call to people that the game has changed, no looking back. Why are we even having economic conversations based on a past system?  This is not your parent's economy. All the yap by economists today is just BS. A fractional banking system where banks loan out 9/10 of all deposits assumes a savings economy.

What kind of economy do we have then? We need new political and economic words that correspond to new philosophies that reflect of the sea changes of these last decades such as with a permanent 0% interest rate lending economy with no savings. It cannot be called capitalism when you are extorted to invest or lose money.

The Irreni World Solution is innovation and not revolution. Why? Two reasons:

  1. Experiments need to be conducted to validate any new claims made. 
  2. The world is too big to revolution. If there is revolution in the US then millions and billions outside of the US will pay the price, including die. 

If millions and billions in this world are dependent on the US for life...food, medicine and protection...then what does it mean to be American? Shouldn't these people have a say in their future? in any innovation and revolution we undertake? This suggests even the concept of "country" is obsolete. We are just planet Earth now. We are living in a redefined world pretending it is not with outdated conversations. Soon our collective denial to face our sea change reality is going to inflict a terrible price in human life. Let's not let it get that far.

We need to wake up folks. We need to shake off our inability to admit reality simply because we are afraid to admit the truth. We refuse to admit our situation in part because we feel we have no solution, no options, no nothing. We are staring into the open maw of nothingness of options and are afraid, afraid that if we admit all our notions of capitalism, democracy, republicanism, socialism and communism are outdated then we have nothing to say. What next? And Bernie Sanders can't save you because there is no going back. Bernie has no ideas to innovate. Irreni World Scale does. Irreni World Scale is a system, a platform to innovate solutions to meet today's conditions. We need to innovate, together.

Cheers!

Demand Irreni World Scale!

Think disruption!

Empathy for all!

Moral relativity: think it, breath it!

Prove it or lose it!

Conversations equal consensus! 

Welcome to the 21st century!

Scale your empathy, scale the world! 

Find your tribe!

Be sexy people!

The future is coming! 

Innovate at a rapid pace!

Slow speed ahead!

Well come! and well met!
















Sunday, September 13, 2015

Beyond 10

Hi! Happy Sunday!

How ya' doin'?

Humans do not understand and relate well beyond the number ten. Stalin phrased it like this, "kill one person it is murder, kill a million and it is a statistic." Our empathy and our understanding are limited by our genetic inability to think in scale. But think in scale we must...there are after all seven billion people on this Earth and counting.

I bring this topic up because today I saw the following graphic on my Facebook feed:



This graphic is representative of our collective inability to process emotionally and intellectually beyond the number ten. The fact is that violence among humans is at a historical low. I highly recommend that everyone read Steven Pinker's book, "The Better Angels of Our Nature."

Pinker's book represents a failure of sorts for me in our modern information age. The reality of statistics is not being disseminated to the masses so as to correct the sensationalism in the media that is promoted to generate dollars. Why doesn't everyone know that violence is at an all time historical low? As someone who understands scale I consider myself as one of those who are failing the masses. Irreni World Scale is in part my way of educating the public.

Here's a question: even if everyone were informed that violence was at a historical low then would it matter? Would the graphic above still be every bit as popular even if everyone had read Steven Pinker's book?

In some respects we know the answer to that question in the form of our collective experience with lottery tickets.. Most people buying lottery tickets have been informed that the lottery is just a tax on people who cannot do math. In other words the lottery is a case where even people are informed of the math then they are still buying lottery tickets. We the people know the statistics but we the people still can't help ourselves. Why?

Why? Because people are buying more than just a chance to win money. People are exercising hope. Hope in many ways is analogous to visualizing success for athletes. A very real improvement in success for athletes can be realized by athletes visualizing success of an event right before the event. Hope allows us to see a path forward, even if false, where if we didn't then we might despair and give up. Hope is our nature. Real improvement in success for athletes can be realized by visualizing success of an event right before the event. The prior belief that one can succeed is vital to the actions of one succeeding.

In some sense the act of buying a lottery ticket is analogous to prayer. When people are praying together they are hoping together. Perhaps this hope gives them strength where they wouldn't otherwise go on. People who pray certainly believe this is the case.

Science has no evidence showing buying lottery tickets and prayer works directly. The lottery ticket case is just pure math and some social studies. People who win the lottery often end up even more unhappy.  Lots of studies on prayer have been done. The latest I read indicated that prayer has no effect on medical outcomes. They authors did note that there was a slight negative effect of prayer when the person of ill health was aware of the prayers for them. When the subject of other peoples prayer's health declines then the subject feels stress because they feel they are letting down the people praying for them. This stress is detrimental to their health.

Still, we cannot put a price on so many things that make up the human experience. Hope is like love; one of those priceless things that make life worth living. Even false hope.

So those of us in the scale business, the business of bringing all humans up to speed on scale, have a dilemma to face. Do we sponsor in anyway false hope like a lottery or prayer given hope is such an important part of human nature?

Irreni World Scale's approach to improving the politics of scale is first and foremost an approach of culture. This is followed immediately by the science of social experiments. The Sexy Principle of Human Quality is one of the twenty big fancy pants ideas that Irreni puts forth.

Sexy Principle of Human Quality.

The entire expanse of folk living are obligated to communicate models of living quality. We cannot deliver expectations of quality of life unless we know what these expectations are. We should all be movie makers promoting our own expectations. We should all be role players in role playing games to try out expectations and experiment what it is like to be in someone elses shoes.

The motivation for this principle is simple: our genetics do not allow humans to relate to numbers beyond ten. However, we do relate to culture: music, the arts and so on. The politics of scale then is about getting to know each other as much as possible by sharing cultures.

The question here is should those of us who understand scale condone and even promote false modes of hope in culture like prayer and buying lottery tickets? Or should we limit cultural experience to only that which is scientifically proven?

Yes and no. Religion has been in all cultures studied by us. Religion is a part of our human nature. Religion doesn't scale because religion is fundamentally about us vs. them, insider versus outsider. After all if everyone already belongs to a religious group then why do you need a religion? Religion must go in general but all aspects of it? False hope? Should be keep lottery tickets?

Sam Harris, a prominent outspoken atheist, missed an opportunity to address this question in an interview with Denis Prager. In the interview a caller asked a question of Sam, "Even if what you say is true about religion, I have a very real relationship with Jesus. What should I do with that relationship?"

What Sam should have said is this: "Keep it. Just understand that this relationship is only real for you and act accordingly in the outside world." In other words, if someone needs an imaginary friend to get through life, keep it but with the understanding that to others it is imaginary. This will facilitate the decision making process for us humans collectively.

We the people don't do scale because our experience and our genetics never required this of us. Now we need to scale to a planet geography and seven-billion population. Our flaw in human nature of our inability to scale needs to be compensated for in other ways. Irreni World Scale does this primarily via the Sexy Principle of Human Quality. We share cultural wants and desires. We then come to an understanding of the limits, boundaries and possibilities. Part of this cultural experience may include false hope such as buying lottery tickets or praying. Collectively we should find this is acceptable under two conditions: everyone understands from the get-go that false hopes are just that, false hopes, placebos, and second the false hope does not divide us into insiders vs. outsiders like religion.

Cheers!

Demand Irreni World Scale!

Think disruption!

Empathy for all!

Moral relativity: think it, breath it!

Prove it or lose it!

Conversations equal consensus! 

Welcome to the 21st century!

Scale your empathy, scale the world! 

Find your tribe!

Be sexy people!

The future is coming! 

Innovate at a rapid pace!

Slow speed ahead!

Well come! and well met!
















Saturday, September 12, 2015

The End of The Job: Tribes Replacing Jobs

Hi! Happy Saturday!

Pumpkin is in season! I can say that because pumpkin just showed up at Starbucks! There is a cultural statement in there somewhere.

Today is a lesson in systemic solutions. America's problems today, and the world's problems today are firstly systemic. Our systems need to be upgraded to scale to the new global economy, the new global workforce, the information age of technology and an ever increasing population.

We need to replace jobs with tribes where the Irreni opening size of tribe is thirty people. We should no longer hire individuals. We need to change our laws such that only tribes can be hired.

John C Goodman is a conservative columnist who recently made a couple of statements contrasting the conservative position regarding no minimum wage vs the liberal position of a $15-an-hour minimum wage:

Flash forward to last Saturday. In an editorial endorsing a $15-an-hour minimum wage, the editors of The New York Times repeat the canard that the typical minimum wage earner is a lone individual trying to “eke out a living” on that wage, ignoring all economic research to the contrary. Then, for the first time ever if memory serves, they make an economic argument for intervention:
"Markets do reliably establish the prices of goods and services when businesses have to compete. When businesses compete for workers, for example, wages rise because employees gain a modicum of bargaining power. The law has long recognized, however, that low-wage workers seldom have bargaining power. An adequate federal minimum wage effectively substitutes for that lack."

Wow. When you walk into Walmart’s, how much bargaining power do you have? Zilch. But is that bad? Not at all. If you want to bargain over price, go to a garage sale. Walmart has low prices -- not because customers have bargaining power, but because it is competing with other stores for customers.

The same thing is true in the labor market. Hourly workers almost never bargain over their wages. It’s typically take it or leave it. But employers compete against other employers – on wages, benefits and other aspects of work. Competition keeps wages as high as they are, just as competition keeps Walmart’s prices as low as they are.
That brings us to Paul Krugman, who repeatedly argues that small increases in the minimum wage do not cause unemployment. Economic studies and even the Congressional Budget Office disagree with him. In fact, David Brooks summarized much of the contrary evidence in a column on the very same op ed page Krugman writes for. And in the Wall Street Journal, Andrew Puzder notes that there are already indications of layoffs because of minimum wage increases in San Francisco and Seattle.

Let us set aside for the moment the fantasy conservatives have about competition in capitalism. Competition is the enemy of business.  Businesses in all markets undermine competition by buying their competition, converging to monopoly, manipulating laws, and corporate collusion to the tune of a recent $415 million dollar settlement this year involving 64,000 workers. Until a conservative admits that every-present competition is seen as the enemy of businesses and all businesses work to eliminate competition by all means legal and financial then it is impossible to have conversation with conservatives about the true nature of  capitalism.

That said, these economic arguments about minimum wage and capitalism are outdated and irrelevant. All the economic arguments put forth by all economists today are based upon decades and centuries of economic data that are irrelevant. The global economy of today has undergone a sea change these last couple of decades. Conditions have change so radically and so fast so as make all historical data on economics irrelevant. The reason economists insist their education is still relevant, however, is that when people spend years studying something they are not going to give that up easily.

Scale has changed everything. I'm going to list just two things have dramatically changed the labor market in the last 30 years. These two changes can be said to have uprooted economics so much so as to make all past economics irrelevant:

  1. Global workforce. 
  2. Automation. 
And there are many more. I picked these two changes because they directly impact labor. Other changes such as global banking also make classic economics irrelevant. For example, today picking a country of your choice to bank with so as to optimize tax strategies is a luxury of the rich and corporations. Tomorrow it will be available to us all. Trust me. Soon everyone in the US will have an international bank account.

Prior to 1990 and the Internet then America's workforce was mostly Americans. Today America's workforce is seven billion large where corporations can hire employees anywhere in the world. That's a sea change. Further, climate change albeit man made or otherwise means the planet cannot sustain every person on planet having a job and enjoying the same consumerism we enjoy in the US today. The planet simply cannot sustain the per-capita consumption, waste and energy use of a typical American scaled to  seven billion people. This means a permanent cheap labor market free of competition pressures.

Therefore the labor market has been completely redefined. Even the smallest company of two people can hire off-shore cheaply. The "American labor force" exists no more and will never return.

Factor the impact of automation on labor markets in with the global workforce on labor markets and the labor market is completely upended. Yesterday's economics don't apply. We need 2015 economics. Today's labor market looks nothing like the labor market that all economists were trained to think about. All economists today are irrelevant.

We need new economic models that meet the demands and changes of the totally different circumstances of the day.

Irreni World Scale meets the challenge of new economic models so as to address the new economic conditions. Irreni calls for eliminating the job and replacing individual workers with tribes. American rugged individualism must die for the sake of humanity. We need to transition to a tribal model that scales.

You may be surprised to learn this but jobs were created using a tribe model. Jobs represented a system where the "bread winner" is assumed to have a certain amount of overhead.  The "bread winner" was typically the male. The male was married and had kids. The job salary was intended to manage a modern tribe, a nuclear family tribe. A nuclear family tribe meant mom, dad and the kids. The nuclear family tribe broke down for good during the 1980s. Prior to 1980 only 40% of women were in the workforce and mostly in part-time jobs intended for mothers. Flash forward just ten years and 80% of women in the US were in the workforce, mostly full-time. The dual-income family became the norm in just 10 short years, sea change. Did classic economics update their textbooks and change their models in real time? No. In fact economic models of today haven't changes since WWII. That is how out-of-date today's economics are.

It could be said that the two-parent working family alone upended economics and invalidated all economics prior to 1990. But there is more. Today we have 60 million single parent-family households in the US.

Machinery and automation have been replacing workers for over a hundred years. However, the pace and the scale of that automation grew exponentially with the advent of cheap computers in 1980.

And now we have burgeoning robotics. It is not science-fiction to say that in one-hundred years robots will provide for us such that no human will need to provide food and shelter. Food and shelter will be 100% provided for all humans by robots. Work will be unnecessary to survive.

What then?

The value of something then can no longer be tied to labor, manufacturing and prices determined individually for a single person. Scale can no longer equate to competition where the scale of supply and demand means success, riches and better wages. Scale can no longer be an objective to drive down prices and encourage ever larger corporations, our modern day tribes. Automation makes scale competition irrelevant. We can see the lopsided economy of scale in the high-tech industry where just a few hundred people can service the entire world.  The focus of the modern tribe we call corporation can longer be a race of size but must change to a focus on community.

Irreni calls for a community unit of a fixed number, thirty. Money paid to the tribe to deliver services factors in all the overhead of the elderly, the children and others who have little or no work capacity.

To bring this conversation full circle then the notion of minimum wage becomes irrelevant because the smallest unit for hire is the tribe. These tribes are fixed at thirty in number. The fairness factor then is not wages but overhead. Each tribe will have a balanced number of workers supporting the rest of the tribe.

The evil of today's tribes is that of ostracising the unfortunate, the ex-cons, the mentally ill, the physically ill, the socially inept. Our greatest tribes today, corporations, take no responsibility for those less fortunate. Empathy for all. Our tribes of tomorrow must have a direct, day-to-day obligation to directly help those less fortunate and not put them out-of-sight, out-of-mind in institutions. If someone needs professional care, as we call it today, then we must become that professional care and that overhead needs to be factored into the price of every tribe. In this way everyone on planet Earth can find meaningful life engagement where today only a minor percentage can find a job and the model of jobs doesn't scale to half the people on the planet.

The economics being bandied about today in the media are totally irrelevant. The world has changed so completely in the last thirty years so as to make all historical economics useless.

Irreni World Scale meets the scale of today's economics by eliminating the job and replacing it with the tribe of thirty. We all must take responsibility for those less fortunate and we can no longer toss the less fortunate aside for "professionals" to deal with. It is time to quit putting our elderly in homes and insisting they be kept with us by demanding a tribal system that requires those capable to be responsible for those who are not. Demand Irreni World Scale.

Cheers!

Think disruption!

Empathy for all!

Moral relativity: think it, breath it!

Prove it or lose it!

Conversations equal consensus! 

Welcome to the 21st century!

Scale your empathy, scale the world! 

Find your tribe!

Be sexy people!

The future is coming! 

Innovate at a rapid pace!

Slow speed ahead!

Well come! and well met!

















Tuesday, September 8, 2015

The Real Tyranny

Hi! Happy Tuesday!

Ok, much ado has been made in the US about the country clerk in Kentucky who would not issue gay marriage licenses. Should we accommodate religious bigotry?

I'd like to offer an Irreni solution take on things. The solution comes in the form of a question:

Is there only a single world view that we want?

The advent of the Internet and instant mass communication is quickly aligning the variety of world views to a unified view, but is that what we want? I would argue no. Not only is it not what we want, but humans are so diverse that such a thing is not possible. What we are seeing today in Kentucky is just a smell of how demanding uniformity will play out.

When is it okay to have different sub-cultures with differing world views? How are the boundaries defined? Is it okay to discriminate under the mantle of religion?

The Irreni solution is a system that supports and promotes the greatest diverse moral relativity as we  can stand and does so with a model of only handful of universal minimum rights. A minimum set of universal rights enables the most opportunity for relative and diverse group and individual rights.

Irreni takes the same approach to human rights as Scientists take to the fundamental forces of nature: the fewer the  better.

Irreni has very few fundamental rights. The one that applies here is the OI principle, or Opportunity Importance principle. This principle simply states that human race is over and we won. We now know how to survive and now we have to move on to the age of quality of life for everyone. Therefore everyone has equal opportunity importance. This is the OI Principle.

Every generation of humans should have the opportunity to define what humanity means, what opportunity means. What a sad state of affairs it would be if one million years from now everything is pre-determined for everyone born.  The human experience should be open ended morally and continuously changing such that each and every generation can take ownership of new moral imperatives and missions. Life should not be a proscribed hell from cradle-to-grave of a life determined wholly by previous generations of morals, purposes and obligations.

Today, we currently define marriage as opportunity where anywhere from 200-1,400 legal rights are conferred upon a marriage contract depending on where you live. The county clerk of Kentucky is denying opportunity importance and therefore according to the OI Principle she is to be considered a very evil person. She is not a good person.

The OI Principle doesn't state what opportunity is defined to be. We, you and I, define what opportunities are each generation of new humans. The OI Principle just states that every single person has equal opportunity importance. Quality of life is the new contract now and forever...or at least until survival is no longer assured and we are back to a human race again.

The OI Principle when implemented states that no religion and no moral single code can can exist for all human beings.  People are different and will require different opportunities. The OI Principle assures that we collectively strive to provide distinct differing opportunities to the best of our collective abilities. That is our mutual social contract.

The OI Principle is not the only right defined by Irreni. But it answers a question raised by the county clerk of Kentucky and that will be chasing us all as time marches on: should we humans converge on some super list of morals, rights and plans culminating in a singular world view?
No. 
We should maximize moral relativity using the OI Principle as the foundation: opportunity importance for all. Different groups of people can have juxtaposed relative morals that each considers evil relative to the other but where denying opportunity importance is considered evil by all. So shall we all say:  the county clerk of Kentucky is evil. 

Cheers!

Think disruption!

Empathy for all!

Moral relativity: think it, breath it!

Prove it or lose it!

Conversations equal consensus! 

Welcome to the 21st century!

Scale your empathy, scale the world! 

Find your tribe!

Be sexy people!

The future is coming! 

Innovate at a rapid pace!

Slow speed ahead!

Well come! and well met!